Can Brentford frustrate Liverpool again, or will the hosts make their quality count on home soil?
Liverpool welcome Brentford in a Premier League meeting that carries plenty of intrigue at both ends of the table. With momentum, selection calls and historical patterns all in play, this is a fixture that could turn on fine margins.
Liverpool arrive with mixed recent numbers, having won 3 of their last 6 overall while averaging 2.0 goals per game. Their home output is stronger at 2.17 goals per match, but the wider story is less stable after recent reports of dressing-room tension and uncertainty around Mohamed Salah’s future and role.
That off-field noise matters because Liverpool have looked disjointed at times, and any disruption to Salah’s rhythm would remove both a major goal threat and a key creative outlet. Even so, Anfield remains a significant advantage: they have taken 3 of their last 6 at home and generally create enough volume to pressure sides that sit deep.
Liverpool have dominated this matchup historically, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings with Brentford and keeping the overall goal return relatively controlled at 2.33 per game. That combination of home control and efficient scoring has usually left Brentford chasing the fixture rather than shaping it.
The venue trend also leans firmly toward the hosts, with Brentford finding it difficult to take much from visits to Anfield. Recent meetings have typically stayed within a manageable score range, which fits the pattern of Liverpool doing enough without every game becoming a shootout.
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Brentford’s profile suggests Liverpool should enjoy territory, but the hosts cannot afford another loose performance given the recent morale concerns. If Slot’s side start sharply, their home scoring numbers point to a strong chance of control; if not, the match could become more awkward than the market expects.
Brentford travel with a modest away record, winning just 1 of their last 6 on the road while drawing three times and averaging 1.33 goals scored. They are rarely overwhelmed, though, and their away return suggests they can stay in games long enough to make the favourites work for every chance.
The main question is whether they can turn that resilience into a real attacking threat at Anfield. Their away split shows a side that competes rather than collapses, and that gives them a route into this fixture if they keep the game compact and make Liverpool chase.
Brentford’s best hope is to exploit any lingering uncertainty in the home camp and lean on organization, but the numbers still point to a difficult evening. They have enough structure to avoid a rout, yet producing enough at the top end to outscore Liverpool on Merseyside remains a tall order.